Is the US exit from Afghanistan a trap?

Is the US exit from Afghanistan a trap?

3 0
Read Time:7 Minute, 15 Second
Despite the US Withdrawal the Grand Chessboard is still in Place Image © The Radical Outlook

By Germán Gorraiz Lopez 

In the Doha Agreement signed in February 2020 between the Trump Administration and the Taliban, the US accepted the premise that the Taliban was a “military structure and an Afghan movement”, giving the go-ahead that after its withdrawal from Afghan territory in September From 2021 the Taliban hold power in Afghanistan “as long as an international terrorist organization that opposes their interests does not park the country”, consequently, the conquest of power by the Taliban would not represent per se an insoluble problem for the Biden Administration it would continue to be present on Afghan soil at the new operational base at Kabul airport. On the other hand, the coming to power of the Taliban in Afghanistan has supposed the reinforcement of the Pakistani and Chinese positions, leaving India ostracized so that this circumstance will be used by the US to destabilize the border shared by both countries is known as the Current Line of Control (LAC) since an Indo-Pakistani armed confrontation would mean the first Russia-China military pulse in the form of a nuclear collision restricted to the Indian-Pakistani geographical area.

China and the Kissinger Doctrine

In an article published by the New York Times, entitled “The occasion for a new world order”, Henry Kissinger already considers China a great power (fellow superpower), advises against protectionism or treating China as an enemy (which would eventually make it a true enemy) and calls for relations between the United States and China to be raised to a new level on the basis of the concept of common destiny, (following the model of the transatlantic relationship after the Second World War), with which we would attend the enthronement of the Pacific Route (America-Asia) as the world’s first commercial axis to the detriment of the Atlantic Route (America-Europe) and the implementation of the G-2 (USA and China) as world arbiters. However, the unambiguous objective of the Biden Administration would be a confrontation with the Shanghai Cooperation Organization (SCO), founded in 2001 by the Shanghai Five (China, Russia, Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan, Tajikistan) plus Uzbekistan and converted together with the ALBA countries and Iran in the hardcore of the resistance to the world hegemony of the United States and Great Britain, having Xinjiang, Baluchistan, and Kashmir as scenarios for the destabilizing operations of the United States against China.

Kashmir would be the perfect paradigm for the implementation of the Brzezinski theory of “constructive chaos” in the region, a concept that would be based on the maxim attributed to the Roman emperor Julius Caesar “divide et impera”, to achieve the establishment of a field of instability and violence (Balkanization) and originate an “arc of crisis” that would extend from Lebanon, Palestine, and Syria to Iraq and from Iran and Afghanistan to Pakistan, Kashmir and Anatolia (Asia Minor).

Xinjiang


East Turkestan or Xinjiang (“New Frontier”), was incorporated into the Chinese empire in the 18th century and represents 17% of the country’s land area and 2% of its population) and the Uyghur ethnic group of Xinjiang (of Turkish origin -Mongolian and with a total of 8.5 million inhabitants), it preserves ethnic and Islamic characteristics that would place them very close to their relatives in Central Asia and Turkey, making it the ideal breeding ground to implement the Brzezinski strategy of the “clash of civilizations ”. This doctrine consists of achieving the balkanization of China and its confrontation with Islam (about 1,500 million followers) as well as drying up its sources of oil in the Islamic countries of Central Asia since several of the most important gas pipelines in China pass through Xinjiang. originating from Kazakhstan, Turkmenistan, Uzbekistan, and Russia, with which the Sino-Afghan border will become the scene of the destabilizing operations of the United States after the transfer from Syria and Iraq of the 10,000 ethnic Uighur fighters who would fight with Daesh in addition to the nearly 1,000 members of the East Turkestan Islamic Movement recently released in Afghanistan.

Balkanization of Pakistan

Pakistan’s rapprochement with China would have accelerated the Pentagon’s doctrine of achieving the balkanization of Pakistan and its weakening as a state with Baluchistan as the insurgency’s field of operations. Thus, China would be building an extensive port network, which would include ports, bases and observation stations in Sri Lanka, Bangladesh and Burma and of which the strategic port in Pakistan, Gwadar, (the “gorge” of the Persian Gulf), would be a paradigm. 72 kilometers from the border with Iran and about 400 kilometers from the most important oil transportation corridor and very close to the strategic Strait of Hormuz. The port was built and financed by China and is operated by the state-owned China Overseas Port Holding Company (COPHC), since the region surrounding the port of Gwadar contains two-thirds of the world’s oil reserves and 30 percent passes through there. of the world’s oil and 80 percent of that received by China and is on the shortest route to Asia (Silk Road). Thus, the United States announced the suppression of military aid to Pakistan for an amount of $ 300 million at the same time that it would have promoted the independence movement in the province of Baluchistan where the strategic port of Gwadar is located with the avowed objective of making the star project unviable. China, the “Belt, and Road Initiative”.

China aspires to store the water from the sources of rivers such as the Brahmaputra to supply Chinese cities in the east of the country, which would have set off alarms in the Modi government, which fears a notable reduction in the flow of drinking water available so it does not rule out bombing Chinese hydraulic facilities.

Kashmir


Kashmir would be the perfect paradigm for the implementation of the Brzezinski theory of “constructive chaos” in the region, a concept that would be based on the maxim attributed to the Roman emperor Julius Caesar “divide et impera”, to achieve the establishment of a field of instability and violence (Balkanization) and originate an “arc of crisis” that would extend from Lebanon, Palestine, and Syria to Iraq and from Iran and Afghanistan to Pakistan, Kashmir and Anatolia (Asia Minor). The US will try to remotely control ISIS and al Qaeda to destabilize Kashmir and achieve the India-Pakistan military confrontation that could involve China and Russia. Kashmir would be a province traditionally oppressed by an Indian Army that would have deployed about 500,000 soldiers (1 soldier for every 9 inhabitants) and the nationalist Government of Modi would have revoked the special status of Kashmir, (which in practice translates into detention sine die of local Kashmiri politicians and strict control of internet service), so de facto. Kashmir would have become an explosive cocktail by combining ingredients as unstable as the Hindu-Muslim religious dispute, the territorial dispute, and the icing on the cake of the independent Kashmiris supported by ex-jihadist fighters from Sudan, Pakistan, and Afghanistan.

Likewise, in 1962 a confrontation broke out between India and China due to the Chinese disagreement with the borderline established in 1914 (McMahon Line), after which China gained control of the Aksai Chin plateau as well as the Siachen Glacier, (territories that India continues to claim as his own). China aspires to store the water from the sources of rivers such as the Brahmaputra to supply Chinese cities in the east of the country, which would have set off alarms in the Modi government, which fears a notable reduction in the flow of drinking water available so it does not rule out bombing Chinese hydraulic facilities. On the other hand, the coming to power of the Taliban in Afghanistan would have meant the reinforcement of the Pakistani and Chinese positions, leaving India ostracized so that this circumstance will be used by the US to destabilize the border shared by both countries known as the Line of Current Control (LAC, for its acronym in English) as an Indo-Pakistani armed confrontation would suppose the first Russia-China military pulse in the form of a nuclear collision restricted to the Indian-Pakistani geographical area.

The views expressed in the article are the author’s own and do not necessarily reflect our Editorial Policy


Author

Germán Gorraiz López is an economic and geopolitical analyst. He regularly collaborates in several Spanish and Latin American digital and printed publications.


Republishing is allowed with a copyright credit to © The Radical Outlook

About Post Author

The Radical Outlook

The Radical Outlook is an online news web Portal designed for in-depth news analysis from the Eurasian region and beyond. It is Founded by a geopolitical analyst Shahzada Rahim.
Happy
Happy
0 %
Sad
Sad
0 %
Excited
Excited
0 %
Sleepy
Sleepy
0 %
Angry
Angry
0 %
Surprise
Surprise
0 %

Average Rating

5 Star
0%
4 Star
0%
3 Star
0%
2 Star
0%
1 Star
0%

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *

Optimized with PageSpeed Ninja