The United States Surrendered In Afghanistan without a fight: Time has approached to Clean Up the Middle East

The United States Surrendered In Afghanistan without a fight: Time has approached to Clean Up the Middle East

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One of the biggest historical events happened before our eyes – the Americans left Afghanistan. They were left shamefully and humiliatingly – they, like a drunken bummer, were adjusted from the stairs under the backside of the knee. But there are too many Americans around the world. Especially in the Middle East, where they keep a huge military grouping. Are there any chances of a repetition of the Afghan scenario there?

The US surrender in Afghanistan clearly depicts the fall of Liberalism © The Radical Outlook

By Alexander Tsyganov

©Translated and Published by RO

If you look at the modern map of the world, you can be filled with optimism: for the first time in many decades, the “anaconda ring” around Russia has unclenched. All of southern Eurasia, which means the entire geostrategic Heartland (the “core”, “middle land” of Eurasia), was free of the Yankees. For the first time (!) Since the end of World War II, the Americans are only holding on to the distant Japanese islands and a bridgehead in South Korea. And further to Romania itself, land free from them. Unless Turkey has an air force base in Incirlik, but given the current difficult relations between Ankara and Washington, it has no shock value.

Dance, Russia?

It is too early.

Basement with rats

Yes, upon further study of the map of the Heartland, a whole basement is immediately discovered at the threshold of Russia, along which fat rats adorned with red stripes and white stars crawl freely. This is the Middle East – not very large, but the most troubled region of the Eastern Hemisphere. And there are more than many Americans here.

America keeps more than six thousand troops in Iraq so far. They, with all due respect to their formidable appearance, most of all resemble a ball in a pot of Eeyore’s donkey: “in … and out.” The Iranians and pro-Iranian groups periodically frighten the invaders with shelling, forcing once again to declare the withdrawal of American troops, but, as far as can be judged by sufficiently reliable data, things are still there.

Here is tiny Qatar. Welcome to Al Udeid, the main American base in the region. Here is the largest American airfield in the Middle East, the center of electronic espionage, here – in the metropolitan suburb of As-Sailia on the basis of the US ground forces – depots of weapons and equipment, up to 300 tanks, 400 infantry fighting vehicles, a lot of artillery. And 13 thousand American troops.

The same number is in the slightly larger Kuwait – at five local bases, including two aviation ones.

Since 1971, the largest US naval base, the main operational base of the Fifth Fleet, has been operating on the island of Bahrain in the Manama region. And more than seven thousand American troops.

But these three countries are approximately equal in area to half of the Pskov region. That is, they are literally stuffed with American weapons.

Interestingly, the larger the country, the fewer Americans there are. The Americans have bases of the Air Force and the Navy in the United Arab Emirates – about five thousand servicemen. Another three thousand US soldiers are kept in Saudi Arabia and Jordan.

It began with the meeting of US President Franklin D. Roosevelt with the King of Saudi Arabia Abdul-Aziz ibn Saud in February 1945, at which the so-called “Quincy Pact” was signed. This document performed two functions – it sent Britain out of the region and did not let Russia in there. Moscow’s attempt to play the Israeli ace was quietly but surely blocked by Washington.

As you can see, 45 thousand well-trained militants enter the circle, representing a completely complex military force – the fleet, aviation, armored forces, and infantry. Plus, the number of special forces, not determined by open sources.

But that’s not all. America keeps more than six thousand troops in Iraq so far. They, with all due respect to their formidable appearance, most of all resemble a ball in a pot of Eeyore’s donkey: “in … and out.” The Iranians and pro-Iranian groups periodically frighten the invaders with shelling, forcing once again to declare the withdrawal of American troops, but, as far as can be judged by sufficiently reliable data, things are still there.

As, by the way, in Syria, where up to 1000 American troops remain, despite the complete illegality of their stay.

It remains to add 600 people in Oman – and we will count more than 50 thousand well-trained military personnel in the Middle East, who, in general, do not belong there – no matter what they themselves think about this. Isn’t it time to clean up a little rat from our Eurasian basement? Or is America able to leave on its own? To answer this question, a small historical excursion will be useful.

How the British were removed

Until the outbreak of World War II, the United States did not particularly meddle either in the Middle East or in Eurasia as a whole. The Americans had sporadic political interests here, but in general, the “old powers” were circling the waltz here.

However, the defeat of France by Germany, and Germany by the Soviet Union, caused tectonic shifts in geopolitics, because the States during this time completely economically smoothed their British “cousins”. Feeling overpowered, the Americans decided to fill the power vacuum in the Middle East before victorious Russia did.

It began with the meeting of US President Franklin D. Roosevelt with the King of Saudi Arabia Abdul-Aziz ibn Saud in February 1945, at which the so-called “Quincy Pact” was signed. This document performed two functions – it sent Britain out of the region and did not let Russia in there. Moscow’s attempt to play the Israeli ace was quietly but surely blocked by Washington.

Plus – oil. Sold by sheiks for pennies, it nicely set off Truman’s doctrine of containing the Soviet Union. But they weren’t stupid in Moscow either, although annoying mistakes happened here too (as, for example, with Turkey, from which the straits were not taken in November 1944, when no one would have opposed this). The Russians were slowly forming their own bloc of Middle Eastern countries.

 Very quickly, American agents of influence took over the key country in the region – Egypt. The regime changed very quickly there. Lebanon as a convenient money hub for the Russians was neutralized by the civil war. In Yemen, the highlanders were reared – and the Yemeni highlanders are feared throughout the Arab world much more than even the Kurds. Somalia was set against Ethiopia. 

Finally, in 1956, the hitherto hidden struggle for the alignment of forces resulted in the Suez Crisis, during which the United States and the USSR in the most amicable way jointly opposed the last attempt of the “old powers” – England and France – to play their own role in the region. When Moscow threatened with an atomic bomb, if the triple – also Israel – aggression against Egypt was not stopped, and Washington did not show any protest to this, the “oldies” had to crawl through their wolf den, whining and snarling. Since then, they never again got seriously into the confrontation between the two great powers in the Middle East.

Thirty Years Game

In the 1960s, the balance of power here was broadly formed. The USA here stood behind Israel, Arabia, “flood” monarchies, Iran. The USSR supported Syria, Egypt, Iraq, Libya, stood in South Yemen. Lebanon was defined as a neutral territory, where all intelligence agencies laundered their own and other people’s money.

the “revolution of the Ayatollahs” in Iran has already confused the cards for the Americans, but they in response began to raise Sunni Salafi movements. As usual, they played seriously, eventually getting terrorist organizations out of control. But on the whole, the new configuration of the political kaleidoscope stabilized until the Soviet Union collapsed and the geopolitical confrontation between the great powers in the Middle East ended in itself.

The established balance was upset by the “Yom Kippur War” in 1973. Not even the war itself – the Arabs just naturally got one more nut from the Jews – but its economic consequences. The oil embargo imposed by the Arab countries has brutally shaken up the entire Western world and made one think that in the new world, the economy has become a weapon more important than tanks and guns. If the pro-American regimes of Saudi Arabia and the sheiks have cruelly raised the price of gasoline in the US to the marrow of their bones, then what can we expect if the region is finally taken over by the Russians?

Well, the conclusions were made. Very quickly, American agents of influence took over the key country in the region – Egypt. The regime changed very quickly there. Lebanon as a convenient money hub for the Russians was neutralized by the civil war. In Yemen, the highlanders were reared – and the Yemeni highlanders are feared throughout the Arab world much more than even the Kurds. Somalia was set against Ethiopia. Moscow’s attempt to parry these blows with a pro-communist coup in Iran was brilliantly successfully extinguished by an unnecessary “people’s” revolution in Afghanistan, after which the USSR, instead of controlling civilized Iran, was forced to fight against the primitive tribes of Waziristan.

And the Afghan slap in the face must be somehow experienced while turning towards the partners with the unharmed side of the face. But experts do not believe that the States leave here on their own. Not in the short term, anyway.

True, the “revolution of the Ayatollahs” in Iran has already confused the cards for the Americans, but they in response began to raise Sunni Salafi movements. As usual, they played seriously, eventually getting terrorist organizations out of control. But on the whole, the new configuration of the political kaleidoscope stabilized until the Soviet Union collapsed and the geopolitical confrontation between the great powers in the Middle East ended in itself. We remember the rest.

They themselves will not leave

And now, when the already renewed, but still great Russia has returned to the region, what should be expected from another great power opposing it? Although it received a painful blow in Afghanistan, it still has in the Middle East: a) strategic interest, b) vital economic interests, c) the existing set of allies and clients, one way or another loyal to America.

Yes, the answer is already in the question. Of course, the current Washington administration will not hurt to reconsider something and reset relations with various countries in the region. And the Afghan slap in the face must be somehow experienced while turning towards the partners with the unharmed side of the face. But experts do not believe that the States leave here on their own. Not in the short term, anyway.

The American withdrawal from Afghanistan is a fait accompli. This is a failure of US policy not only there, it is one of the largest failures in their history,

I agree with one of the largest domestic experts in the region, a leading researcher at the Center for Arab and Islamic Studies of the Institute of Oriental Studies of the Russian Academy of Sciences, Doctor of Historical Sciences Boris Dolgov, what he said

“But as for the Middle East, the situation here is somewhat different. Firstly, the American military presence in the Near and Middle East is quite extensive. There are military bases in Bahrain, in Jordan, there are military structures in Saudi Arabia, there are military posts, where American special forces are concentrated, in Syria. There are bases in the regions around the Middle East. Even if the Americans from somewhere and “leave”, as, for example, from Iraq, in fact, this is not a withdrawal, as a maximum – a redeployment of troops and military structures to other countries “.

The specialist is convinced that the Afghan scenario in the Middle East will not repeat itself. Local monarchies are stable, and the United States owes this stability.

So we will not take the Americans out with someone else’s hands, as in Afghanistan. The struggle for the region will be long, difficult, no shorter than the “Thirty Years Game”, and God forbid that it be waged by intelligence and diplomats, and not follow the Syrian scenario.

One way or another, Russia has returned to the field. A new game has begun, and the score is still 1:0 in our favor.

The views expressed in the article are the author’s own and do not necessarily reflect our Editorial Policy


Author

ALEXANDER TSYGANOV is a Russian political analyst and Columnist of the TV Channel “Tsargrad”.


Republishing is allowed with the copyright credit to © The Radical Outlook

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The Radical Outlook

The Radical Outlook is an online news web Portal designed for in-depth news analysis from the Eurasian region and beyond. It is Founded by a geopolitical analyst Shahzada Rahim.
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